doctor of jurisprudence, professor
The article is devoted to the concept of advanced legal effect, targets of legal prognosis, such as scientific prognostication of dynamics of legal conditions, optimal legal effect on social and politic processes, avoidance of possible deviations. Elements of juridical prognosis are determined: borders and contents of perspective legal regulation, means of correlation of social development processes and their legal reverberation. Theses correlation could help to ascertain cause-and-effect relations in the legal system, dynamics of legal regulations in national and international law, dynamics of statutes and functions of subjects of law, legal risks. All these elements would stimulate minimizing of negative consequences. Methods of prognostication and a range of criteria for an estimation of results are also considered in the article.
Keywords: prognostication, prediction, risk, legal regulation, concepts, lawmaking.